Southwell Review

Clean sweep again and if the below results don't tell you Backs to Lay work , nothing will. All the below horses were freely available at bigger odds pre race. I only stick to two point trades as over time this has proven the most viable option,but for those that seek higher rewards for smaller outlay the gains are there for you to see.

2:20 Southwell  Pavement Games BSP 4.60 low IR 1.65
                         Young George BSP 22.42 low IR 6

2:50 Southwell  Music Box Express BSP 8.2 low IR 5.2

4:20 Southwell  Sternian BSP 16.81 low IR 3

Will be on in a while with a look at Lingfield and half a Southwell card.

Southwell for Tuesday

A few of interest , although tight affairs.

2:20 Southwell I would  think Billie Jean will be quite a hot favourite for this race as the only one with c&d form, but looking to eek some value out of the race i will stick with one that i have highlighted before. In Pavement Games we have a filly that i am hoping should be spot on for today, was held up last time over 6f but previously was prominent when running over 5f this could prove an option for a trade. Another that is of interest  is Young George prominent and pulling on his seasonal reappearance last time , he is lightly raced and should have some improvement to come.Of the two i think i will opt for Pavement Games as she is 3lb and 4 lengths better off with Sandy Toes and 3 lb and 3 lengths better off with Annia Galeria on their 22nd of January run. This could prove a price shortener as its there in black and white but i'm fairly sure she will give a good account.

2:50 Southwell An interesting race as 4 of the 5 are prominent racers . Guto in his prime would waltz all over these and if fit could be of interest.Monte Major has the c&d form but just comes up short in my book. I have a feeling this will be between Music Box Express and Spic N Span the latter is discarded as will probably be too short. Music Box Express likes to lead and sees out 6f which in this case over 5f maybe whats required as the pace will be frenetic. He has the c&d form and with such a small field as long as we get a decent price we should see enough price fluctuations to make that 2 point trade.

4:20 Southwell An interesting runner at a likely big price is Sternian . Only ran the 3 maidens so far under a lady jockey and with Luke Morris on board today i can see some improvement coming our way.On her second run she was up with the pace until 1 out over 9f , the drop to the mile should suit. Last time over 10f was never put in the race and i will take a chance that this filly improves today.

Gluck

Sup

Missed out on one today

Matched up on all apart from Ishiadancer , sods law that of the other two up with the pace horses named in the preview one won and the other halved in price - thems the breaks.

Xpressmaite was taken at a much higher price than Betfair SP, so was an easy trade. Was very glad that the final race came up trumps.

2:00 Bookiesindex Boy BSP 15.31 low IR 6

3:00 Ravi River  BSP 3.90  won

3:30 Ishiadancer BSP 7.03 low IR 7

4:00 Xpressmaite BSP 15.41 low IR 14

5:30 Make Amends BSP 8.23 won

Will be on later with a look at Southwell tomorrow.

Wolverhampton Tomorrow Backs to Lay.

Have 5 for Tomorrow 2 point trade on each prices allowing . I am looking forward to the last.

2:00 Wolverhampton Bookiesindex Boy could be the answer in this testing opener down to class 6 for the first time this winter, likes to be up with the pace and is a strong traveller , has the c&d form and a fourth last time in class 5 indicated a return to form was on the cards. Hope for 7's plus on this one. 

3:00 Wolverhampton Ravi River ran a race on Saturday that was out of character to his other runs in that he was allowed his head and took it from the front, in doing so came right back to form and was only a length from the winner in 3rd at the end . More of the same today could see him go close just hope for a decent price.  

3:30 Wolverhampton Plenty of pace in this race Smalljohn was a selection last time and won i would think the weight rise will stop him today , Kipchak i just cannot have in this class but will still probably force the pace and Ishiadancer who is easily upto winning in this class infact last time in class 5 led and won by 5l. Would hope that with Smalljohn and the closer Seldom in the race we may get 5 about Ishia.

4:00 Wolverhampton Stick my neck out time now and a selection that doesn't tick the right boxes but was one that i spotted IR a while back. I have waited for him to step back up to 9f and a drop in class so although just shy of 9f today i will put him up as a back to lay. Xpress Maite was seen to good effect over this trip 3 runs ago in a class 4, although 6 l off the winner in the end was always finishing and a drop to this class could see him get it right. Double figure price required.

5:30 Wolverhampton Grey Command has only gone up a pound for getting his hat-trick on Friday and you would think unopposable but his last two runs have come very quickly. In Make Amends we have a horse that sees out another 1f on top of this distance and if Grey Command leads as per , Make Amends can sit in and will close at the end . If as i would think Grey Command will be short this should give us a price to play with on the selection. 

Gluck

Sup

Review of the Day

All 3 matched up on 2 point trades.


1:40 Ansells Pride BSP 5.02 low IR 2.14

3:40 Taper Jean Girl  BSP 13.50 low IR 8

4:40 Boy Dancer BSP 13 low IR 8

Myself on Boy Dancer tried for a little more and was only partially matched at 8's , must learn to stick to whats easy.

Back on later looks like it's Wolverhampton tomorrow.

Update

Already traded out on Solis was on at 7.4 out at 5.4

So will have a bit on Ansells on at 6.4 out at 4.4

Of the remainder -

15:40 Taper Jean Girl have decided on , on at 10 + out at 8

16:40 Looking for 11 on Boy Dancer.

Southwell on Sunday

Just the three races previewed today.

1:40 Southwell Ansells Pride presents us with an early chance to get off the mark , a horse who on his penultimate start was only a 1/4 l off winning albeit over 1 f further.  Well upto winning this class 5 will be up the front from the outset and represents a chance for me to trade a couple of points. Price check required here as could be a tad skinny.Another that catches my eye is Solis who for a 4 yr old has not had much racing has won a class 6 and the step up in trip could see improvement.Miss Bootylishes is a pound better off with Borasco on their last meeting and her style of running would suggest she will not be far off yet again.She has the c&d form that is almost a prerequisite here. May double trade 2 of these yet prices will probably dominate the decision.

3:40 Southwell  Bertie Buckle is on the same weight as when coming second and beating Taper Jean Girl last time by 1 3/4l , probably has a little more improvement in him than the latter . After only his second run in a handicap will expect him to be to the fore today and go very close . A note of caution in that the extra furlong may not suit whereas Taper has won over c & d .  A decision will be made pre racing as i suspect the race may revolve around these two as i would like to think D'Uberville would need a little further.

4:40 Southwell Boy Dancer is today running over a trip much more suited to him after showing hints of wellbeing  the last twice, only 3 1/4l off the winner last time although seventh and i just feel back to this distance and with his last run to blow the cobwebs away he will be seen in a better light today.Probably a small trade here.

Will certainly be on pre racing , Gluck

Sup