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Wednesday, 3 February 2010

Southwell & Wolverhampton for the 4 th

Two cards again , hope to find a few, here goes-

2:00 Southwell Lily Grove is of interest on her handicap debut back down to 7f today after finding 9f too far in her 3 maidens. Has been ridden prominently in all her races so far so should prove a viable back to lay.

4:00  Southwell In Cape Royal i see a horse that is dropped down a class and running well in class 5 last time, likes to lead and if i can get a playable price is a definite back to lay, the only worry here is the course,as most of its good form is elsewhere.

4:30 Southwell Plenty of seconditis in this field which has made me look for a bit of value here and in Mister Incredible i am hoping to have found some. He has c&d form and what makes him a bit of a standout in this context was only 2l off Albero Di Giuda last time which to me is good recent form.He is a hold up horse and his overall form is poor but hopefully the last run was a sign of things to come.

4:50 Kempton Have you ever seen a tactical 5f race ?? Struggled to find anything to add pace to the race with nearly all the runners being hold up horses. Raimond Ridge back to form last time and could still have more to come. Dickie Le Davoir needs pace to come off. So this in my mind is how it looks , Carnival Dream usually travels mid div but is inclined to pull so hoping they give her, her head and let her go off infront . I would think at the prices she probably offers the value but is not the most reliable. A decision will be made tomorrow when the market is formed.

5:20 Kempton If a double figure price can be secured on Justcallmehandsome he will be my selection for a couple of points trade in this race. Likes to lead has c&d form and will be upfront to near the finish all the ingredients for a price drop.

6:20 Kempton One would expect Kirstys Lad to be a strong favourite for this race considering the form of  his last run.In his last 3 runs he has done the job for the blog but i suspect as mentioned his price will be restrictive.Looking elsewhere a horse that is dropped back to 9f for the first time in 4 runs and a drop in class is My Mirasol  she likes to lead and has c&d form a good option in my opinion although after 349 days off you have to hope she is fit.But the price should reflect this and if she leads,drop anyway even if out for the run.

That's the lot for tonight Gluck , and hope to be on tomorrow.

Sup

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