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Friday, 5 March 2010

Friday, Backs to Lay at Lingfield and Wolverhampton

Four from Lingfield and two from Wolverhampton , 10-20% Backs to lay..

1:20 Lingfield Bilberry went very close last time under the penalty and is now a 1lb better off with Waterloo Dock for the 27th run. Still on the same mark should go close but may be too short. Jonnie Skull is 7lb better off from that run for 3 and a 1/4 l . Kipchak ran well last time and has won off this mark before, but as i mentioned that day he was the only prominent racer in that field whereas today there is plenty of pace. I will take a chance here with Phai Mai Blue who is really the only hold up horse in the race and is back on a winning mark,has won over c&d in a class 4 so the class 5 today could prove within his capabilities.

3:00 Lingfield Layla's Lad ran well off this mark last time at Kempton over todays distance hampered when starting to challenge and losing out by a length in third. Prominent racer and hopefully with the presence of Azlak we should get a decent price.

3:35 Lingfield Brynfa Boy although under a double penalty is still lightly raced and probably improving but i would think the price will be very short. Edith's Boy has a 9lb turnaround with Brynfa for 5 lengths on their 20th of Jan running but i would say still a touch high in the weights.Fromsong has 4lb on that same running for a length and a 1/4 . One thing is guaranteed here again and that's pace with Thoughtofstardom(a tad high in weights still) Edith's Boy and Fromsong in the race.This may just be set up for Figaro Flyer although not running badly has crept down the weight to just below his last winning mark and i feel can take full advantage of this strong pace.

4:45 Lingfield Will be interesting to see how Kersivay runs as the change of tactics last time (lead) obviously did the trick and is still on a viable mark. Stanley Godspeed although under a double penalty will still be competitive if he gets the pace set up by something else. My selection here is chosen in the hope that Kersivay reverts to hold up and Sapphire Prince can slowly wind it up from the front sees out a mile (this is 7f) is on a winnable mark,likes to be prominent and was just seen off last time by a well handicapped Binnion Bay.

5:35 Wolverhampton There is no doubting Cape Royal will lead and a ten percent trade is viable. Desperate Dan is another that likes to be prominent but drawn in 8 may struggle to get across. With Misaro and Monte Major on the pace also may just set it all up for Kingsgaite Castle.

8:35 Wolverhampton With Well of Echoes and Sworn Tigress in the field i may get a decent price about Desert Fairy has taken them along in her past two races and can do so again tonight there is no doubting she is on a winnable mark it's just how much more improvement the aforementioned have left in the tank.

Gluck with your percentage plays..

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