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Monday, 1 March 2010

Lingfields Tuesday Plays

Geez that's all you need, log on to find that the RP site goes down at 10 pm and you have a deadline to meet !! Luckily started early tonight as need some shut eye.

Anyway three for today, these could prove awful or absolutely inspired....Backs to lay for your percentage play......

3:40 Lingfield There is no getting away from the fact that Peak District remains on a winnable mark but is by passed today as he has never won over 6f. Secret Witness could lead although usually ridden as a stalker but although close a couple of times has never won off this mark. From a back to lay perspective dependant on price i think in this field of hold ups i will select Lucky Redback on a winnable mark has raced prominently before and if fit stands a chance of an easy lead, if not fit may still go hell for leather and it be treated as a blow out. At 5-6+ will take a chance. Orpsie Boy would come into the reckoning if ridden prominently for a change. As the only time recently that he has, ran a great race, all ifs and buts about Orpsie though.

4:10 Lingfield An amazing debut by this horse over a mile when stumbling 5f out  and still coming home within 3 lengths of the winner. This show of ability was well covered on his second start when stuffed at the back and then when gaining taken wide round the bend. First time out this year was given a blow out over 9f when chasing leader to 2f out and then "blowing up" and fading. Could today be the day , i love a conspiracy theory and will be backing to lay Spice Fair in this one. A double figure price will be required but i am expecting a big run. EW also. A half length infront of Thundering Home on debut - a horse that has won a class5 off 70 and a narrow defeat in a class 4 off 75. There be value at leafy. :)

4:40 Lingfield Imperial Skylight has his in and out days as most of Channons horses do. But he likes to race prominently and is on a mark that gives him a chance the booking of Catlin after the poor run last time looks a positive and a high single figure price or double is expected.

May the prices go low

Gluck

Sup

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