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Monday, 25 January 2010

Musings for Southwell 26/01

1:20 Southwell  I think this could be Dickie Le Davoirs day second finishing well last time at 5f, i would suggest 6 f is his best trip he has won over c&d and when he gets his conditions is a better class horse than 6.As a back to lay though he offers little value as he is a hold up horse who will come late, if at computer you can always take your higher price IR.Fuzzy Cat has the same running style and is likely to improve.In Whatyouwoodwishfor we have a horse that leads on his day , on a respectable mark and Mr. Hanagan up for the first time this year, i think i will trade for 2 points here.

2:20 Southwell With West End Lad you know what you get he will lead or be up with the pace from the start and about 1-2f out either fade or stay on his 4 th 2 runs ago over c&d was a good run and only having a run since could have put him spot on for tomorrow.He won around the same time last year and strangely enough beat Vogarth that day ( 2lb better off on that run ) Should get a workable price here.

2:50 Southwell There are a lot of horses in this race that have already done their winning this winter on the All Weather. I am going to stick my neck out here and select Smokey Rider usually up with the pace from the off and with a sole run this AW season coming in December hope he has the fitness to cope with these. Has raced as high as listed class so has the ability and uncannily most of his wins on AW have come in Jan/Feb.

4:20 Southwell I would think the Johnston horse Temple Fair will be vying for favouritsm here. On this occasion i will stick with the proven course and distance form of Wedding Dream looked an improver when winning by 6 lengths in December although obviously has its quirks.Will be up with the pace from the offset so hopefully i can get a trade out of this one.

Hopefully be back on pre racing.....

Gluck

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