Wednesday, 10 February 2010

Lingfield and Southwell Backs to Lay

A few from Lingfield and just the one from Southwell -

1:55 Lingfield An interesting event in that i couldn't see where the pace was coming from , i would think favouritism will be fought out between Bolanderi and Rapid City but as they are both hold up horses they were cast aside by the Back to Lay radar. As a side note i would prefer Black N Brew as a winner candidate over the two previously mentioned. Anyway as my back to lay i am selecting Officer In Command the reason is that i feel he will put the pace to the race and if ridden well will be at the forefront of things for a long way. Prominent in his pipe opener over a mile (class4) on January the 30th now back to class 5 and over the distance that he was a 1/2 l fourth in , in August (his only try at this distance) seemed to suit that day and i think improvement will be seen today.

2:25 Lingfield Teen Ager in this one for me , led up and 3l clear til a furlong out over a mile on his comeback from over 6 months off in a class 5. Down to class 6 today and a furlong less spells a good opportunity to me. Has the c&d form will be thereabouts or bounce a chance i will take.

2:55 Lingfield Erinjay i would think will be fairly short in this one , i would offer up the extra furlong as his excuse last time over 9f (class 4) back to the mile and class 5 would think he will take all the beating . Hopefully get about 4 on this with Zerzura in the race maybe more. Will be at the forefront and go low.

2:05 Southwell On a line through Nickel Silver , Indian Skipper should be about 6 lengths to the good over Absa Lutte this in my opinion will not happen the problem being they are both hold up types. Also through Nickel Silver, Indian is dead level with Colorus, as we know with 5f sprinters the form can never be taken at face value. So a few more spokes. Excellent Show should lead , Colorus chasing , Pawan  (who is due one), Absa Lutte and Indian Skipper at the rear (3 held up) . If Excellent Show gets a run on the field we're made here is the trade. Colorus will try to gain and hopefully fade ,Absa Lutte gets next run may come close with Pawan and Indian Skipper closing fast. That is the race in my head , does it bare out ? we will see. A price check here as the small amount of runners and the way the race pans out could see some good highs and lows.

That's all from me , happy price chasing.



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