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Tuesday, 9 February 2010

Southwell for Tuesday

A few of interest , although tight affairs.

2:20 Southwell I would  think Billie Jean will be quite a hot favourite for this race as the only one with c&d form, but looking to eek some value out of the race i will stick with one that i have highlighted before. In Pavement Games we have a filly that i am hoping should be spot on for today, was held up last time over 6f but previously was prominent when running over 5f this could prove an option for a trade. Another that is of interest  is Young George prominent and pulling on his seasonal reappearance last time , he is lightly raced and should have some improvement to come.Of the two i think i will opt for Pavement Games as she is 3lb and 4 lengths better off with Sandy Toes and 3 lb and 3 lengths better off with Annia Galeria on their 22nd of January run. This could prove a price shortener as its there in black and white but i'm fairly sure she will give a good account.

2:50 Southwell An interesting race as 4 of the 5 are prominent racers . Guto in his prime would waltz all over these and if fit could be of interest.Monte Major has the c&d form but just comes up short in my book. I have a feeling this will be between Music Box Express and Spic N Span the latter is discarded as will probably be too short. Music Box Express likes to lead and sees out 6f which in this case over 5f maybe whats required as the pace will be frenetic. He has the c&d form and with such a small field as long as we get a decent price we should see enough price fluctuations to make that 2 point trade.

4:20 Southwell An interesting runner at a likely big price is Sternian . Only ran the 3 maidens so far under a lady jockey and with Luke Morris on board today i can see some improvement coming our way.On her second run she was up with the pace until 1 out over 9f , the drop to the mile should suit. Last time over 10f was never put in the race and i will take a chance that this filly improves today.

Gluck

Sup

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