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Friday, 19 February 2010

Lingfield for Saturday

I originally came up with just the first selection on my trawl through this card . This was down to the fact i usually avoid maidens,claimers and races beyond a mile(unless a standout that has been followed), so in fact the races that are on this card were not suitable.Be very wary, as i will be, when taking any of the 3 latter backs to lay on as they do not come under the usual guidelines that i set myself. I have basically gone outside the usual criteria, which i occasionally do, to try and find some value on a poor card for the blog................



2:50 Lingfield  A bit of a shot in the dark with this one and only because it is so well handicapped now. Orchard Supreme can run both ways prominent or hold up, has the c&d form and interestingly came back from a similar break and won a class 2 last year off a superior mark.

3:20 Lingfield Was Gargano found out by the handicapper last time or Southwells surface . Likes to lead and realistically i should swerve the race altogether as 1m 4f leaves the back to lay option a wide open gamble. I feel here that if a price of 6+ can be achieved then it's worth the risk otherwise leave alone.

3.55 Lingfield Basra and December Draw met trouble in running last time. December Draw will most likely be too short a price for a back to lay . Basra as a hold up horse is also a liability but one i  feel will represent value and in a field with so few runners a two point back to lay can be attained.

4:30 Lingfield Mint Whip was selected last time and didn't let the blog down coming a close 4th. Once again i think she will be up with the pace and gives me a back to lay option, with her fillies allowance should give a good account.

Have a great Saturdays sport and Gluck

Sup

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