Thursday, 25 February 2010

A look at Southwell and Kempton

Six in all for today , three from Southwell and three from Kempton.

Backs to lay for your percentage play ...............................

4:20 Southwell Wyatt Earp is still on a good mark , but i have my doubts as to his suitability to Southwells surface. Liked good - good to firm on turf and i just think this may be a persuasive enough argument to look elsewhere. Hits Only Jude is the selection here has the c&d form was knocking on the door over 7f last time and although never winning off this mark has had some close up seconds. Currently 5.2 on Betfair if i can secure 7 or above will be happy.

4:50 A bit of a standout here for me is Kladester. Off course for 8 months and returned to be 2 and a half length second at Wolverhampton 34 days ago , has a c&d win to his name . The only negatives are hold up and bounce factor. Currently 8.8 on Betfair could go alot shorter in my opinion. Mackintosh also has been knocking on the door lately and the drop back to 7f could do him a favour has ran both ways recently ( prominent and hold up ) currently 7.6 on Betfair. May double trade these as at least if Kladester did bounce would cover some of the staking.

5:20 Southwell Royal Crest gets 12 lb for the 8 lengths it was beaten last time from Isitcozimcool but i cannot see either of these winning. Magic Haze was ridden prominently last time has the c&d form and runs today off the same mark. Currently trading at 6.8 i would think a 2 point trade would be attainable here.

7:10 Kempton The race or should i say betting will probably revolve around Muktasb again as it's not an if it's just a when it will win. Spoof Master was the selection last time and will be here as he ran a perfect race for a back to lay , fast out and led until obviously tiring inside the last 1f. Boldinor is still of interest too as still on a mark that he has won off before, has the c&d form and likes to be prominent.Spoof Master currently 14 looks an easy 2 point option.

7:40 Kempton Little Pete looks the one here knocking on the door last two runs , seems to run his best races as a stalker, but the step upto 7f seems to suit and is well handicapped on some form. Hopefully the drop to a class 6 handicap will see him in a better light. Currently 7.4 so should be about the right price for the two point back to lay.

8:10 Kempton Clive Brittain seems to have hit the ground running for this time of year and in Mudhish has a likely candidate for a back to lay. Off the back of a good second over 6f last time and with some of his best form over 7f (tonights distance). Likes to be prominent and off this mark has a chance of being there to the end. Trading at 7.8 at the moment so around the right price for a trade.



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